overconfidence effect - dunning-kruger effect - conceptual

ability behavior behavioral belief better bias chance cognitive confidence confident control dangerous decisions dunningakruger effect ego egomaniac egomaniacal esteem experience expert fail failure fallacy illusion illusory judging judgment misplaced narcissism narcissist optimism optimist overconfidence overconfident overestimation overplacement performance planning self selfcentered selfserving subjective success superior superiority thinking wishful worse wrong